D’Alembert strategy in sports betting
The d’Alembert strategy in betting is one of the most popular. It resembles Martingale, but is less risky. In Martingale, the bet amount doubles with each loss, and in d’Alembert, it smoothly increases by a predetermined unit.
How the d’Alembert Strategy works in betting
In order for the d’Alembert strategy in betting to work clearly and bring money to the bettor, two rules must be strictly observed:
Place bets on outcomes with odds of at least 2.0. Ideally, these should be odds of 3.0 or higher, but with such quotes, the probability of losing increases.
For the initial bet, use only 1-2% of the total pot. If you are confident, you can increase the amount, but betting more than 5% is not recommended.
According to the theory of probability, the more bets you lose, the higher the chances become that the next bet will win.
Accordingly, according to the d’Alembert strategy in betting, it is necessary to increase the bet amount by one initial bet in case of loss and reduce it by the same unit in case of success.
You need to increase the size of bets until the bet wins – just like in the classic catch-up. When the result is reached, the cycle must be completed.
Is it possible to win by the d’Alembert principle?
The answer to this question will definitely be in the affirmative, since in theory you can win with any strategy. However, bettors fell in love with d’Alembert’s strategy precisely for its softness. This is what distinguishes it from flat and other non-progressive strategies.
If your first bet is equal to 1% of the total bank, then it will take as many as 13 unsuccessful bets in a row to lose all the money. Such a long period of failure is certainly possible, but not very likely if you have at least some experience in betting. The main thing is not to be greedy and not to make too much of the first bet.
And remember that you should bet only after a thorough study of the team and its current series of games. For example, if a team does not win 6-7 matches already, then it is likely that the series will be interrupted soon.
Advantages and disadvantages of betting on the d’Alembert system
Each sports betting strategy has its pros and cons. The strategy we are considering is not without them either. It reduces the chances of losing the entire pot quickly, even in the event of a series of unsuccessful bets, but it will not bring you tangible profits over the course. Some cappers even believe that d’Alembert and Counter-D’Alembert at a distance drive the player into a significant minus.
Benefits of the d’Alembert Strategy
The main advantage of the strategy is that it is less risky compared to Martingale (catch-up). If you strictly follow all the rules and choose a not too large initial bet (no more than 3% of the bank), you can afford a dozen losses in a row – and still not lose all the money.
In addition, you are unlikely to fall under the bookmaker’s limits, since the size of the bet increases smoothly (in algebraic progression), and not sharply, as in catching up (in geometric progression).
Risks
To play at a distance according to d’Alembert, you definitely need a solid bank.
You seem to lose less than when you catch up, but, on the other hand, you need more bets to recoup the loss.
It takes a lot of patience and perseverance.
Not every bettor is endowed with these qualities.You have to bet on high odds (sometimes higher than 3.0).
This is a common drawback of d’Alembert and Martingale.
Serious analytical and theoretical training is required.
Betting on the first outcome with odds of 3.0 or more is like death.